Two EU polls show shift towards Leave

With just over a week to go until the EU referendum two more opinion polls have shown increased support for the Leave campaign.

A YouGov poll for The Times puts the Leave campaign seven points clear, while an ORB poll for the Telegraph shows Leave (44 per cent) closing the gap on Remain (49 per cent) compared to last week.

Among those who describe themselves as certain to vote, ORB hands Leave a one per cent advantage.

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Last night, ICM phone and online surveys for the Guardian were both split 53-47 per cent in favour of Brexit.

Writing in the Telegraph, Conservative strategist Sir Lynton Crosby suggested the Leave campaign was reaping the benefits of focusing on immigration.

“These positive trends for Leave among the entire electorate, as well as definite voters, indicate that both its messaging and campaign tactics may be beginning to pay off,” he said.

“But with just over one week left until Britain heads to the polls, the question is whether they will pay off in time.”

The YouGov survey – with topline figures of Leave 46 per cent, Remain 39 per cent, 11 per cent undecided and four per cent set to abstain – shows Leave leading among women and 25 to 49-year-olds. 

Polling expert John Curtice said yesterday there was a trend showing “some weakening in the Remain position”.

He added: "It was already plain that this race was far closer than the Prime Minister intended, and he must now be feeling discomfort at the thought that the outcome really could be in doubt."